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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0869
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0714 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CENTRAL GA...SRN SC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 294...
VALID 110014Z - 110215Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 294 CONTINUES.
CLUSTER OF SVR TSTMS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS ACROSS
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GA INTO SRN SC. MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE
HAIL/DMGG WINDS. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED...AND A REPLACEMENT WW MAY BE NEEDED BEFORE 01Z.
LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS A CLUSTER OF SVR TSTMS OVER CENTRAL GA.
RECENT VWP DATA CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR
PROFILES /PER REGIONAL VWPS/ WITH STRAIGHT/LONG HODOGRAPHS. AS A
RESULT...SPLITTING SUPERCELLS HAVE BEEN NOTED OVER THE LAST SEVERAL
HRS OVER CENTRAL GA. AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS ACTIVITY REMAINS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE/S AROUND 2000 J/KG. FURTHER
WEST...ISOLATED TSTMS DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL/NRN AL ARE EXPECTED TO
BEING AFFECTING FAR WRN PORTIONS OF WW 294 AROUND EXPIRATION TIME
/01Z/ WITH A REPLACEMENT WW POSSIBLY NEEDED FOR CENTRAL/NRN GA
BEFORE THEN. HOWEVER...GIVEN RECENT CONVECTIVE TRENDS WITHIN THE SC
PORTION OF WW 294...A NEW WW MAY NOT BE NEEDED FOR THIS AREA UNTIL
LATER TONIGHT.
..CROSBIE.. 05/11/2008
ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...
33688250 34128522 32038498 31788296 31418128 32427989
33057904 33578119
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