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Mesoscale Discussion 870
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0870
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0816 PM CDT FRI JUN 06 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...S CNTRL NEB...MUCH OF CNTRL KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 070116Z - 070315Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...95 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THE THREAT OF SEVERE WIND IS INCREASING CNTRL NEB INTO KS
   AND A WATCH APPEARS LIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS ARE AFFECTING THE REGION.
   ONE LINE OF STORMS EXTENDS FROM NWRN KS INTO S CNTRL NEB. 
   INSTABILITY IS CURRENTLY WEAKER OVER NEB...BUT WARM/MOIST ADVECTION
   PERSISTS AND THE SYSTEM HAS A GOOD COLD POOL. THEREFORE...AS IT
   CONTINUES SEWD...SOME UPSCALE GROWTH COULD OCCUR WITH A CONTINUED
   THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS.

   A SECOND AND LIKELY MORE INTENSE LINE OF STORMS WAS RAPIDLY MOVING
   EWD ACROSS SWRN KS. THIS SYSTEM HAS BETTER ACCESS TO GREATER
   INSTABILITY...WITH DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY. 

   MARGINAL HAIL WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST CORES.

   ..JEWELL/CORFIDI.. 06/07/2014


   ATTN...WFO...OAX...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...LBF...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   37049830 38399898 39989985 40599963 41089921 41179838
               40549764 39219671 37739627 37209665 36999700 37049830 

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Page last modified: June 07, 2014
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