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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0870
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0849 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS WRN KS...ERN PANHANDLES OF TX/OK...EXTREME
NWRN OK.
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
VALID 260149Z - 260445Z
RAIN RATES 1-2 INCHES/HOUR ARE EXPECTED FROM TSTMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THIS SWATH...AND LOCALIZED RATES MAY EXCEED 2 INCHES/HOUR IN ERN TX
PANHANDLE WHERE COMBINATION OF BUOYANCY...STORM-RELATIVE LOW LEVEL
WIND AND INFLOW-LAYER THETAE SHOULD REMAIN GREATEST.
BKN BAND OF CONVECTION -- WITH INFLECTION POINT WRAPPING INTO MVC
OVER CENTRAL PANHANDLE OF OK -- IS FCST TO MOVE GENERALLY EWD 10-15
KT. ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT CORRIDOR FROM TREGO/ELLIS COUNTIES KS
THROUGH GCK/DDC AREA...ERN OK PANHANDLE...PORTIONS ELLIS/HARPER
COUNTIES OK...AND NERN TX PANHANDLE. SOME BACKBUILDING ALSO IS
POSSIBLE INTO E-CENTRAL TX PANHANDLE...ALONG AND JUST BEHIND OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY. TSTMS SHOULD BE MAINTAINED FOR ANOTHER FEW HOURS OVER
MUCH OF THIS AREA AMIDST MOISTURE TRANSPORT ASSOCIATED WITH SLY TO
SSELY LLJ OF 20-30 KT...AND AROUND 1.25 INCH PW. QUASI-LINEAR MODE
WILL BE SUPPORTED BY FORCED ASCENT OF MOIST AIR SLAB ALONG
COLLECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. STORM MERGERS -- ESPECIALLY OVER TX
PANHANDLE AND INVOF MVC -- ALSO WILL ENHANCE HAZARD FROM HEAVY
RAINFALL.
..EDWARDS.. 05/26/2009
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...GLD...AMA...
LAT...LON 35250092 35910093 36380064 36820080 37110132 37550089
38090077 38320046 38960018 38859941 37719968 36979963
36449960 35240013 35250092
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