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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0871
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0919 PM CDT MON MAY 25 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...S CENTRAL INTO NERN NEB
CONCERNING...HEAVY RAINFALL
VALID 260219Z - 260415Z
CORRECTED FOR INCOMPLETE SENTENCE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL...WITH RATES UP TO
1-2 IN/HR...ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF S CENTRAL NEB INTO NERN
NEB.
A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED FROM ROUGHLY 30 NW OF HLC TO
GRI TO YKN AT 01Z. ELY FLOW THROUGH THE LOWEST 3 KM AGL IS FAVORING
CONTINUOUS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT/REGENERATION ALONG THE
FRONT...AND VERY WEAK DEEP LAYER FLOW IS RESULTING IN NEGLIGIBLE
DOWNSTREAM ADVECTION. OBSERVED 00Z RAOB FROM OAX INDICATES SOMEWHAT
DRY CONDITIONS OVER ERN NEB. HOWEVER...CYCLONIC FLOW AROUND SLOW
MOVING WARM CORE CYCLONE CENTERED NEAR SGF MAY ADVECT HIGHER
MOISTURE CONTENT /I.E. PWAT VALUES NEAR 1.5 INCHES PER TOP SOUNDING/
INTO THE REGION...RESULTING IN INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
HEAVY RAIN PRODUCTION ALONG THE FRONT AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.
..GARNER.. 05/26/2009
ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...
LAT...LON 42399719 40689784 40069873 40279947 41349899 42359807
42729747 42399719
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