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Mesoscale Discussion 874
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0874
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0901 AM CDT SAT JUN 07 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 071401Z - 071600Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STRONG WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY A SQUALL LINE AS IT MOVES
   ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

   DISCUSSION...LONG-LIVED COMPLEX OF TSTMS THAT DEVELOPED ACROSS THE
   HIGH PLAINS FRIDAY EVENING HAS PROGRESSED INTO MO THIS MORNING. 
   ASSOCIATED MCV HAS ROTATED INTO JOHNSON COUNTY MO...JUST SOUTHEAST
   OF THE KC METRO AREA.  CONVECTIVE LINE HAS FORMED IMMEDIATELY AHEAD
   OF THIS FEATURE TRAILING SWD INTO THE OZARK PLATEAU OF SRN MO.  12Z
   SOUNDING AT SGF SUGGESTS INFLOW FOR THIS ACTIVITY IS MOST LIKELY
   FROM THE SW AS PRIMARY AXIS OF BUOYANCY EXTENDS ACROSS NWRN AR INTO
   SWRN MO.  SWLY LLJ APPEARS RESPONSIBLE FOR CONVECTIVE MAINTENANCE
   AND ELY BRANCH OF LLJ IS EXPECTED TO TRANSLATE ACROSS SRN MO TOWARD
   SRN IL/WRN KY THIS AFTERNOON.  LATEST RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST SQUALL
   LINE IS MOVING ENEWD AT ROUGHLY 35KT WHICH TRANSLATES TO NEAR THE MS
   RIVER BY 17Z.  LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE NOTED WITH THIS
   LINEAR ACTIVITY.

   ..DARROW/WEISS.. 06/07/2014


   ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...SGF...

   LAT...LON   37919287 38849045 37978948 37139049 36909270 37919287 

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Page last modified: June 07, 2014
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