Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 879
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 879 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0879
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1128 PM CDT WED JUN 03 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL CO / W-CNTRL AND NWRN KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 040428Z - 040530Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL LIKELY INCREASE TONIGHT AND AN
   ISOLATED SEVERE RISK WILL LIKELY ACCOMPANY THIS DEVELOPING ACTIVITY
   AS IT MOVES EWD INTO RICHER LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND A STRENGTHENING
   LOW LEVEL JET.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS BLOSSOMING THUNDERSTORMS FROM PUEBLO
   COUNTY NEWD INTO CHEYENNE COUNTY CO.  SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES AN
   INVERTED TROUGH FROM THE TX PANHANDLE INTO SWRN KS WITH DEEP /1 KM
   AGL/ ELY FLOW ADVECTING MOISTURE-RICH AIR /UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S
   DEWPOINTS/ INTO ERN CO AND FAR W-CNTRL KS.  LONG HODOGRAPHS NOW
   EVIDENT ON KGLD VAD DATA AND A 40+ KT SOUTHERLY LLJ SAMPLED BY KDDC
   INDICATES STRONG SHEAR ACROSS THIS REGION.  ALTHOUGH SOME
   BOUNDARY-LAYER COOLING HAS OCCURRED THIS EVENING...STEEP
   MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES /IN EXCESS OF 8 DEG C PER KM/ COUPLED
   WITH THE INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE ARE CONTRIBUTING TO A
   MODERATELY TO STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS.  A CLUSTER OF STRONG TO
   SEVERE STORMS --SOME OF WHICH WILL PROBABLY EVOLVE INTO SUPERCELLS--
   CAPABLE OF A LARGE HAIL AND PERHAPS A LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND GUST
   RISK MAY RESULT AS THIS ACTIVITY MATURES AND MOVES EWD TOWARDS THE
   LLJ AXIS OVER WRN KS.

   ..SMITH/EDWARDS.. 06/04/2015


   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   38360423 39390325 39870154 39450089 38740098 38180163
               37970376 38360423 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 04, 2015
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities