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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0883
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0535 AM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTHERN INDIANA AND CENTRAL/EASTERN KY
INTO OH
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 111035Z - 111230Z
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS/HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP EAST-NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN INDIANA AND
CENTRAL/EASTERN KY INTO OH EARLY THIS MORNING. ALTHOUGH NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED...WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR A POSSIBLE
WATCH.
EAST OF A NEARLY STACKED CYCLONE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL IL...AN ARCING
BAND OF LOW TOPPED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO DEVELOP/QUICKLY SPREAD
NORTHEASTWARD EARLY THIS MORNING NEAR THE FRONTAL OCCLUSION ACROSS
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN INDIANA INTO WEST CENTRAL KY. MEASURED CONVECTIVE
GUSTS OF 40-45 KT HAVE BEEN COMMON THIS MORNING IN SURFACE NETWORK
OBSERVATIONS ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST IL INTO SOUTHWEST
INDIANA...INCLUDING MOUNT CARMEL/LAWRENCEVILLE IL AND EVANSVILLE
IND/HENDERSON KY. IN ADDITION...A GUST TO 48 KT WAS RECENTLY /1006Z/
MEASURED AT CHAMPAIGN IL. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY REMAINS
MODEST...STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG WINDS IN THE LOW TO
MID TROPOSPHERE WILL FAVOR WINDS/HAIL TO NEAR SEVERE LEVELS EARLY
THIS MORNING. INDIANAPOLIS/EVANSVILLE WSR-88D VWPS ARE SAMPLING
50-60 KT WINDS IN THE LOWEST 1 KM. IF ANY UPSWING IN CONVECTIVE
INTENSITY OCCURS THIS MORNING...A WATCH MAY NEED TO BE CONSIDERED.
..GUYER.. 05/11/2008
ATTN...WFO...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...
40028731 40418621 40498493 39308383 37448402 36818580
37038654 38318645 39688712
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