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| Mesoscale Discussion 897 |
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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0897
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0630 PM CDT SUN MAY 11 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC...NE SC
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 307...
VALID 112330Z - 120100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 307 CONTINUES.
THE SEVERE THREAT WILL SPREAD EWD ACROSS THE PAMLICO SOUND AREA OF
ERN NC AND WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN NC FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. A
TORNADO OR TWO REMAIN POSSIBLE HOWEVER...LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE
SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. A REPLACEMENT
WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY OVER THE NEXT HOUR ACROSS SRN NC.
LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A 994 MB LOW OVER NE NC WITH A OUTFLOW
BOUNDARY EXTENDING WSWWD INTO CNTRL NC. A COLD FRONT IS PRESENT FROM
NEAR RALEIGH NC SWD INTO CNTRL SC. RUC DATA SUGGESTS MODERATE
INSTABILITY REMAINS EAST OF THE BOUNDARY WHICH COMBINED WITH STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A 85 TO 95 KT
MID-LEVEL JET WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE STORMS AND ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS. ALTHOUGH A FEW TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN AND
SRN NC...WSR-88D VWPS SHOW VEERING LOW-LEVEL WIND PROFILES
SUGGESTING THE TORNADO THREAT MAY BE DECREASING. EVEN SO...THE
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AS SEVERE
STORMS MOVE INTO THE COASTAL AREAS OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 3 HOURS.
..BROYLES.. 05/11/2008
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...
33387870 33717919 33967927 34307904 33977863 34147850
34147836 34337814 34387818 34507815 34617818 34697816
35177814 35137785 35607780 35837735 36017740 36527714
36527693 36867687 37047668 36927649 36937628 37097630
37287620 37317600 37157594 37027550 36867567 36387549
35837518 35207520 34957530 34797585 34347635 34277656
34347691 34277720 33977764 33647774 33537786 33547820
33547838 33497857
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