Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 901
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 901 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0901
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0237 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM...WRN OK PANHANDLE...NWRN TX PANHANDLE

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 081937Z - 082030Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE MARKEDLY ACROSS
   NERN/ECNTRL NM OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  UPWARD EVOLVING SQUALL LINE
   MAY EMERGE BY EARLY EVENING.

   DISCUSSION...SRN INFLUENCE OF STRONG SHORT-WAVE TROUGH WILL TRACK
   ACROSS NERN NM LATER THIS EVENING.  MOST SIGNIFICANT HEIGHT FALLS
   ARE EXPECTED TO INFLUENCE THE PLAINS PRIMARILY NORTH OF I-40 AS
   MID-LEVEL SPEED MAX INTENSIFIES TO NEAR 50KT AND DIGS TOWARD THE TX
   PANHANDLE.  STRONG BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING IS CURRENTLY CONFINED TO
   THE IMMEDIATE FRONT RANGE AND POINTS WEST WHERE SFC-3KM LAPSE RATES
   ARE NOW IN EXCESS OF 9 C/KM.  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING
   OVER THE NCNTRL MOUNTAINS OF NM WITH A FEW STORMS AS FAR SOUTH AS
   LINCOLN COUNTY.  WHILE ELEVATED CONVECTION AND MOIST/COOL SELY
   UPSLOPE FLOW IS TEMPORARILY LIMITING LAPSE RATES ACROSS THE PLAINS
   OF ERN NM/TX PANHANDLE...SUPERCELLS SHOULD MATURE OFF THE RATON
   RIDGE AND DIG SEWD AS SHORT WAVE PROGRESSES ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS. 
   LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH MORE DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS.  HOWEVER...DAMAGING WINDS WILL INCREASE AS SQUALL LINE
   MATURES AND SURGES TOWARD LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE OK/TX PANHANDLES.

   ..DARROW/WEISS.. 06/08/2014


   ATTN...WFO...AMA...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   33570568 35550566 36920493 36850218 35290297 33460453
               33570568 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 08, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities