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Mesoscale Discussion 908
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0908
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0525 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF THE CNTRL/SRN HIGH PLAINS

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 260...263...

   VALID 082225Z - 090030Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 260...263...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...PRIMARY TORNADO AND HAIL RISKS HAVE LARGELY EVOLVED INTO
   WW 263 ACROSS THE ERN PLAINS OF NM. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS MAY
   ACCOMPANY THE NRN PORTION OF A QLCS OVER ERN CO THAT WILL SHIFT
   E/SEWD INTO WRN KS THIS EVENING.

   DISCUSSION...22Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A 1006 MB CYCLONE OVER SERN
   CO WITH AN EXTENSIVE QLCS FROM NERN CO S/SWWD TO NEAR SANTA FE NM.
   THE GREATEST TORNADO/LARGE HAIL RISK SHOULD BE CONFINED TO DISCRETE
   SUPERCELLS JUST AHEAD OF THE QLCS ACROSS THE ERN NM PLAINS WHERE
   BOTH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND INSTABILITY ARE LARGER. FARTHER N...ONLY
   20-25 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR WAS SAMPLED IN GLD VWP DATA AND SURFACE
   TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED COOL FROM THE MIDDLE 60S TO MIDDLE 70S
   ACROSS WRN KS INTO THE PANHANDLES. 9 KM CAPPI REFLECTIVITY HAS ALSO
   DEPICTED A DOWNWARD TREND IN INTENSITY...N OF THE NM/CO BORDER AREA.
   STILL...CONVERGENCE ALONG THE QLCS MAY BE SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN
   STRONG WIND GUSTS INTO PARTS OF SWRN NEB/WRN KS...BUT OVERALL SEVERE
   RISK APPEARS TO BE LIMITED.

   ..GRAMS.. 06/08/2014


   ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   36860466 37300412 37860350 38930344 39250351 39360333
               39930300 40290293 40800236 40850172 40690139 40120092
               39250066 37900077 36440145 35190336 33410403 33260478
               33470489 34900497 36720471 36860466 

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Page last modified: June 09, 2014
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