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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0910
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0805 PM CDT TUE MAY 13 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL TX INTO ERN OK
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 311...
VALID 140105Z - 140230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 311 CONTINUES.
PARTS OF WW MAY BE EXTENDED LOCALLY OR REPLACED WITH A NEW WW BY
02Z.
MID/UPPER FORCING FOR CONTINUING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT DEEP INTO
THE EVENING HOURS IS STILL UNCLEAR...PARTICULARLY ACROSS PARTS OF
CENTRAL/EASTERN OKLAHOMA. BUT...ISOLATED/WIDELY SCATTERED
SUPERCELLULAR STORMS ARE ONGOING WITHIN A NARROW TONGUE OF MODERATE
TO STRONG INSTABILITY...ALONG A LINGERING PRE-FRONTAL LOW-LEVEL
THERMAL RIDGE AXIS. AND...THE RISK FOR LARGE HAIL/LOCALIZED
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO...IN THE PRESENCE
OF STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY CONTINUE AT LEAST THROUGH 02-03Z.
BEYOND THAT TIME...THE MORE RAPID LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING PROBABLY
WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DIMINISHING TRENDS.
..KERR.. 05/14/2008
ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...
33649839 34479776 35099728 35729653 35889524 34009610
32149802 31589880 31889938
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