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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0912
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0634 PM CDT MON JUN 01 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NRN SECTIONS OF IL/IND/OH AND EXTREME SRN LWR
MI
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 318...320...
VALID 012334Z - 020100Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
318...320...CONTINUES.
VSBL SATL SHOWS EVIDENCE OF AN MCV OVER NWRN IL THAT WILL LIKELY
ENHANCE UVV DOWNSTREAM ACROSS THE MIDWEST THIS EVENING. TSTMS HAVE
BEEN FAVORING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES LEFT BY THIS MORNING/S ACTIVITY
WHERE AIR MASS HEATED CONSIDERABLY TODAY. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WAS ON
THE LOWER MARGIN TO SUPPORT SUSTAINED SUPERCELLS...BUT MLCAPES TO
2000 J/KG AND FAVORABLE MID-LVL LAPSE RATES HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO
BRIEF ROTATING UPDRAFTS WITH LARGE HAIL. TROPOSPHERE STILL CONTAINS
CONSIDERABLE DRY LAYERS AND EVAPORATIVE COOLING WILL ENHANCED
DOWNDRAFTS WITH DMGG WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS WCNTRL OH/MIAMI
VLY AND UPSTREAM ACROSS CNTRL IL.
ISOLD STG TSTMS THAT APCH CHICAGOLAND...ASSOCD WITH CORE OF THE
MCV...WILL LIKELY WEAKEN THROUGH 00Z AS THEY ENCOUNTER A LAKE
BREEZE.
..RACY.. 06/01/2009
ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...
LAT...LON 40879078 41878852 41818561 41358345 40838277 40158278
39948382 40068530 40308708 40318831 40328972 40879078
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