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Mesoscale Discussion 914
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0914
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1053 PM CDT SUN JUN 08 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SRN/ERN AR...NRN/CNTRL MS...NRN LA...SWRN TN

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265...

   VALID 090353Z - 090530Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 265
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL RISKS
   SHOULD PERSIST INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH REGENERATIVE TSTM CLUSTERS
   ALONG/N OF A WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT. AN ADDITIONAL WW
   DOWNSTREAM OF WW 265 APPEARS UNLIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...THREE PRIMARY AREAS OF CONVECTION WERE ONGOING
   WITHIN/NEAR WW 265 -- 1) OVER THE ARKLAMISS...2) FROM NEAR LIT TO
   MEM AND 3) ALONG THE I-30 CORRIDOR FROM NEAR DFW TO TXK. 03Z SURFACE
   ANALYSIS PLACED A WEAK QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT FROM NEAR DFW TO ALONG
   THE LA/AR BORDER TOWARDS NW AL. REGIONAL VWP DATA OVER THE PAST 4-5
   HOURS GENERALLY DEPICT WEAKENING OF 3-6 KM AGL WINDS TO AROUND 30 KT
   AS DIFFUSE MCV HAS PULLED AWAY FROM THE REGION OVER THE MID-MS
   VALLEY. THIS SUGGESTS THAT CLUSTERS WILL REMAIN THE DOMINANT
   CONVECTIVE MODE...AS WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT FOSTERS REGENERATIVE
   STORMS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN CAPABLE OF LOCALLY DAMAGING
   WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

   ..GRAMS.. 06/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...OHX...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...

   LAT...LON   32869451 33139457 33149459 33299468 33719379 34389221
               35009151 35338974 35338845 35158797 34568809 33978816
               33208834 32418920 32169062 32149222 32869451 

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Page last modified: June 09, 2014
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