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Mesoscale Discussion 917
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0917
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0228 AM CDT MON JUN 09 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NM INTO THE TX SOUTH PLAINS/TRANSPECOS/PERMIAN
   BASIN REGION AND EWD ACROSS N TX

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...

   VALID 090728Z - 090930Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STRONG/ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE MOVING SWD/SEWD
   ACROSS PARTS OF THE SRN PLAINS...AND WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
   SEVERAL HOURS.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A LARGE MCS ADVANCING EWD/SEWD
   ACROSS OK AND SSEWD/SWD ACROSS ERN NM AND THE TX SOUTH PLAINS AND
   ADJACENT N TX.  WITH THE STORMS MOVING THROUGH AN AREA OF GENERALLY
   MODEST INSTABILITY...SEVERE RISK HAS BEEN LOCAL/ISOLATED.

   WITH TIME...CONVECTION WILL MOVE INTO A MORE FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
   ENVIRONMENT ACROSS PARTS OF N TX AND WWD/WSWWD ACROSS THE TRANSPECOS
   REGION/PERMIAN BASIN INTO ERN NM.  THIS -- IN CONJUNCTION WITH A SLY
   LOW-LEVEL JET OVER W TX BENEATH ROUGHLY 40 KT NWLY/WNWLY MID-LEVEL
   FLOW -- MAY ALLOW SOME INCREASE IN STORM INTENSITY/SEVERE RISK WITH
   TIME.  

   PORTIONS OF THIS AREA REMAIN WITHIN WW 266 THROUGH 09/09Z.  WE WILL
   CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION ACROSS THE REGION FOR ANY
   SIGNS THAT SEVERE RISK MAY WARRANT NEW WW ISSUANCE.

   ..GOSS.. 06/09/2014


   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   34309799 34329656 33649643 32749686 31699864 31640147
               31960282 33410376 34140398 34380376 34370260 33870095
               33789989 34159866 34309799 

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Page last modified: June 09, 2014
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