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Mesoscale Discussion 917
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0917
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0755 PM CDT SAT JUN 06 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...SWRN NEB...NWRN KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 264...

   VALID 070055Z - 070230Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 264
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND WIND CONTINUES IN
   AND NEAR WW 264...WITH THE GREATEST NEAR-TERM THREAT ACROSS WESTERN
   KS...INCLUDING THE GOODLAND AREA BY 01Z.

   DISCUSSION...AT 0045Z...STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE TSTMS ARE ONGOING
   ACROSS MAINLY THE SRN HALF OF WW 264. A LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL MOVING
   INTO WRN KS HAS RECENTLY INTENSIFIED AND WILL POSE A RISK OF
   DAMAGING HAIL/WIND IN GOODLAND AROUND 01Z AS IT POTENTIALLY
   INTERACTS WITH A PLETHORA OF OUTFLOW AND/OR MIXING BOUNDARIES
   VISIBLE ON KGLD RADAR. AN OUTFLOW-DRIVEN CLUSTER OF TSTMS ACROSS ERN
   CO HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING IN COVERAGE/INTENSITY AND MAY POSE A
   DAMAGING-WIND RISK INTO THE ERN PART OF WW 264 IF UPSCALE GROWTH
   CONTINUES. MEANWHILE...WINDS HAVE BACKED TO SELY NEAR THE FRONT
   RANGE IN COLORADO...WITH RESULTING UPSLOPE FLOW POTENTIALLY
   GENERATING REDEVELOPMENT FOR WRN PORTIONS OF WW 264 WITH A CONTINUED
   RISK OF HAIL/WIND...GIVEN SUFFICIENT BUOYANCY AND SHEAR NOTED ON 00Z
   DNR SOUNDING.

   ..DEAN.. 06/07/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...

   LAT...LON   38410360 38580431 39150460 39800485 40470433 40830352
               40910186 40950104 40960054 40300030 39450030 39050058
               38570159 38360219 38410360 

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Page last modified: June 07, 2015
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