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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0928
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0547 PM CDT TUE JUN 02 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ERN VA/MD
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 322...
VALID 022247Z - 022345Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 322
CONTINUES.
SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES FOR PORTIONS OF ERN VA AND MD...THOUGH ONLY
A FEW COUNTIES REMAIN IN THE WATCH. NRN VA AND WRN MD ARE BEING
MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW AS CONVECTION APPROACHES FROM THE W.
A SMALL LINE W-E ORIENTED LINE OF CONVECTION IN ERN VA APPROACHING
THE CHESAPEAKE BAY HAS PROGRESSED AWAY FROM STRONGER FLOW TO THE N.
A NARROW CORRIDOR OF INSTABILITY REMAINS AHEAD OF THE OUTFLOW-DRIVEN
LINE...WITH RECENT SURFACE OBS SHOWING TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO
UPPER 80S...AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID 60S. DESPITE MEAGER WNWLY
FLOW...STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL ALLOW
THE LINE TO PROGRESS EWD INTO THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...WITH A PRIMARY
THREAT OF DMGG WINDS...ALTHOUGH MARGINAL HAIL MAY BE POSSIBLE AS
WELL.
..HURLBUT.. 06/02/2009
ATTN...WFO...AKQ...LWX...
LAT...LON 37927520 37867641 37897741 38067827 38417812 38527694
38637654 38547618 38157539 37927520
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