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Mesoscale Discussion 932
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0932
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0938 PM CDT SUN JUN 07 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KS...WRN/CNTRL MO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272...

   VALID 080238Z - 080415Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 272
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND CONTINUES
   ACROSS WW 272.

   DISCUSSION...AT 0230Z...A LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL WITH A HISTORY OF
   PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WAS APPROACHING EMPORIA KS...WHILE ADDITIONAL
   STORMS WERE DEVELOPING ON THE WRN FLANK OF THIS STORM. THIS ACTIVITY
   MAY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER 1-2 HRS WITH A CONTINUED RISK OF LARGE HAIL
   AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND...THOUGH INCREASING CINH WILL RESULT IN AN
   INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT FOR DISCRETE SUPERCELLS. SOME
   WEAKENING HAS RECENTLY BEEN NOTED WITH THIS ACTIVITY. 

   FURTHER EAST...THE TAIL END OF AN ELONGATED QLCS WAS MOVING ACROSS
   THE ERN PORTION OF THE WATCH. THIS ACTIVITY IS BEING AIDED BY A SWLY
   30-40 KT LOW-LEVEL JET /AS NOTED ON KEAX VWP/. SOME BACKBUILDING TO
   THE WEST INTO FAR ERN KS IS POSSIBLE WITH TIME AS THE LLJ-DRIVEN WAA
   CONTINUES ALONG THE SWD-MOVING COMPOSITE OUTFLOW/FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
   ISOLATED INSTANCES OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND WILL BE
   POSSIBLE...THOUGH THE INCREASINGLY ANAFRONTAL NATURE OF THE
   CONVECTION WILL BEGIN TO TEMPER THE SEVERE THREAT OVERALL. A HEAVY
   RAIN THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST WITH THIS ACTIVITY...SEE MPD 183 FROM
   WPC FOR MORE DETAILS.

   ..DEAN.. 06/08/2015


   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

   LAT...LON   38129754 38849593 39679347 39759257 39319221 38689240
               38049379 37729498 37539583 37519700 37759753 38129754 

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Page last modified: June 08, 2015
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