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Mesoscale Discussion 952
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0952
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0351 PM CDT Mon Jun 05 2017

   Areas affected...Central/southern High Plains

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 052051Z - 052145Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated hail and damaging wind gusts are possible during
   the next several hours across portions of the southern and central
   High Plains.

   DISCUSSION...Storms across the region have largely been focused over
   the higher terrain over the past few hours but insolation has
   resulted in gradually eroding convective inhibition and a more
   favorable thermodynamic environment across the adjacent High Plains.
   Orographic effects will continue to support thunderstorms across the
   higher terrain through the evening with increased coverage
   anticipated downstream across the southern/central High Plains as
   subtle forcing for ascent glances the region. Weakly sheared
   environment is expected to preclude anything but modest storm
   organization but some hail and gusty winds are still possible with
   the strongest updrafts. Additionally, increased surface vorticity
   associated with the convergence zone near the Palmer Divide could
   result in a brief landspout. Marginal and isolated nature of the
   severe threat is expected to preclude the need for a watch.

   ..Mosier/Guyer.. 06/05/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   39280498 40250459 40550408 40100343 37600327 36000373
               35830496 39280498 

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Page last modified: June 05, 2017
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