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Mesoscale Discussion 953
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0953
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0723 PM CDT MON JUN 08 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SERN PA AND NWRN/NRN NJ

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 278...

   VALID 090023Z - 090130Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 278 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...A LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUST CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS THE
   REMAINDER OF WW 278...THOUGH THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT
   SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH 01-02Z.

   DISCUSSION...LIGHTNING TRENDS ARE DECREASING ACROSS SERN PA INTO NRN
   NJ ATTENDANT TO THE BAND OF CONVECTION MOVING TO THE EAST ACROSS
   THESE AREAS.  THIS TREND IS LIKELY DUE TO THE INCREASE IN
   SURFACE-BASED INHIBITION AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS.  GIVEN THESE
   FACTORS AND A STABILIZING ENVIRONMENT WITH E/NEWD EXTENT...THE
   OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE TO WANE THIS
   EVENING.

   ..PETERS.. 06/09/2015


   ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...CTP...

   LAT...LON   39757608 40627488 41127492 41337456 40957426 40307465
               39967494 39797558 39757608 

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