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Mesoscale Discussion 959
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0959
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0732 AM CDT FRI JUN 17 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST MN...NORTHEAST ND

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 264...

   VALID 171232Z - 171300Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 264
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...AN INTENSE STORM CLUSTER ACROSS NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA
   SHOULD CONTINUE NORTHEAST ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT INTO NORTHWEST
   MINNESOTA. SEVERE WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN THE PRIMARY HAZARD.

   DISCUSSION...12Z ABERDEEN RAOB SAMPLED A VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WITH
   MUCAPE AROUND 3500 J/KG AMID RATHER STEEP 700-500 MB LAPSE RATES
   NEAR 8.5 DEG C/KM. WHILE THE ONGOING CLUSTER WILL PASS THE NORTHERN
   EXTENT OF THE INSTABILITY AXIS SHORTLY...THE ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE
   CLUSTER SHOULD RESULT IN ONLY A SLOWLY DIMINISHING RISK THROUGH LATE
   MORNING. GREATEST CHANCE FOR SUSTAINING SEVERE WIND GUSTS WILL
   LIKELY BE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT THAT IS
   PRESENT FROM POLK TO BELTRAMI COUNTIES IN MN.

   ..GRAMS.. 06/17/2016


   ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...

   LAT...LON   47159540 47159550 47159554 47159555 47249795 48209829
               48369831 48549831 49009723 49389515 49369495 49369494
               49319481 48709443 48029441 47599441 47509441 47439441
               47409441 47159516 47159531 47159540 47159540 

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Page last modified: June 17, 2016
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