|Mesoscale Discussion 960|
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Mesoscale Discussion 0960
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0633 PM CDT Tue Jun 06 2017
Areas affected...Parts of southeastern New Mexico
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305...
Valid 062333Z - 070100Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 305
SUMMARY...Isolated to widely scattered severe thunderstorm
development remains possible along the eastern slopes of the
Sacramento Mountains and north of Tucumcari NM through 00-02Z. The
need for an additional severe weather watch this evening appears
DISCUSSION...Widely scattered strong storm development continues to
develop across parts of eastern New Mexico, in the presence of
generally light (but modestly sheared in spots) northwesterly deep
layer mean flow and steep lower/mid tropospheric lapse rates. CAPE
appears largest (1000-2000 J/kg) within relatively moist upslope
flow along the eastern slopes of the Sacramento Mountains. And this
environment seems to offer the best potential for sustained vigorous
storm development, including supercell structures, through the
00-02Z time frame.
A small consolidating cluster of thunderstorms north of Tucumcari NM
could pose a risk for a strong downburst during the next hour or two
while slowly developing southward. Eventually, though, this
activity may be disrupted by convective outflow now slowly advancing
northward through the Tucumcari area.
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
LAT...LON 33670549 33720498 32950449 32320459 32760530 32860552
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