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Mesoscale Discussion 965
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0965
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0727 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL KS / S-CNTRL NE

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 120027Z - 120100Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED STORMS WILL PROBABLY DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
   OF HOURS.  AN ATTENDANT LARGE HAIL/SEVERE WIND GUST THREAT MAY
   ACCOMPANY A FEW OF THE ISOLATED STORMS.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS A FEW UPDRAFTS DEVELOPING ALONG THE
   WIND SHIFT/COLD FRONT OVER N-CNTRL KS NNEWD INTO S-CNTRL NE.  STEEP
   LAPSE RATES FROM THE SURFACE INTO THE MID-LEVELS WILL SUPPORT HAIL
   GROWTH WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.  AN ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUST
   THREAT WOULD ALSO ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER DOWNDRAFTS.  SOME QUESTION
   REMAINS REGARDING THE FORECAST COVERAGE OF STORMS BEYOND ISOLATED
   COVERAGE.  NEEDLESS TO SAY...ANY STORMS WILL PROBABLY PREFERENTIALLY
   DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT BEFORE A STABILIZING BOUNDARY LAYER AND
   INCREASING CINH ACT TO LESSEN BOTH STORM COVERAGE/INTENSITY THROUGH
   THE EVENING.

   ..SMITH/THOMPSON.. 06/12/2014


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...GLD...

   LAT...LON   38929999 40219920 41219842 41209787 40659754 39399813
               38569887 38929999 

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Page last modified: June 12, 2014
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