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Mesoscale Discussion 969
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0969
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0412 PM CDT Thu Jun 08 2017

   Areas affected...Southern/central High Plains

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 082112Z - 082345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated damaging wind gusts and hail are possible through
   the evening across portions of the central and southern High Plains.
   Isolated and marginal nature of the severe threat is expected to
   preclude watch issuance but trends across the area will be monitored
   closely.

   DISCUSSION...Current visible satellite imagery continues to show
   building cu across the higher terrain of the central and southern
   High Plains. Thus far, any attempts for the storms to move off the
   higher terrain have resulted in quick dissipation, with the
   exception of the multicells moving across northeast NM. Warm and
   deeply mixed environment across the High Plains is tempering the
   overall instability somewhat but a moderately unstable airmass is
   still expected across the region through the evening. Additionally,
   southeasterly surface winds beneath northwesterly flow aloft is 
   resulting in modest shear. The resulting environment is supportive
   of weak updraft organization and at least a few stronger storms.
   Deeply mixed sub-cloud layer and high LCLs will contribute to a
   damaging wind threat. Some isolated hail is also possible with the
   strongest updrafts.

   ..Mosier/Guyer.. 06/08/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   36170483 37170489 38210514 38660522 38930514 39120502
               39130460 39090436 38930409 38600381 37930359 36010323
               34840342 34720475 36170483 

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Page last modified: June 08, 2017
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