Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 977
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 977 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0977
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0736 PM CDT THU JUN 12 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...A SMALL PART OF NERN NM

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 130036Z - 130130Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...A LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL PROBABLY CONTINUE
   FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT 30-60 MINUTES.

   DISCUSSION...RADAR MOSAIC AND WDSS-II MESH DATA SHOW A SUPERCELL
   OVER ERN MORA COUNTY EXHIBITING A 2-3 INCH DIAMETER HAIL SIGNATURE
   ON THE EDGE OF VERY STEEP LAPSE RATES SAMPLED BY THE 13/00Z ABQ
   RAOB.  THE DNR RAOB IS MORE CHARACTERISTIC OF THE HIGH PLAINS
   ENVIRONMENT IN WHICH THE SUPERCELL IS CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH. 
   RELATIVELY MOIST POST-FRONTAL DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 50S ARE LEADING
   TO MODERATE BUOYANCY /1000-1500 J PER KG MLCAPE/ WITH A STRONGLY
   VEERING LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS.  EXPECTING
   THE MORA COUNTY SUPERCELL TO CONTINUE SEWD AND EVENTUALLY WEAKEN AS
   DIURNAL STABILIZATION LESSENS BUOYANCY AND SERVES TO DIMINISH THE
   INFLUX OF MOISTURE/INSTABILITY INTO THE PARENT UPDRAFT.  UNTIL
   THEN...A LARGE TO VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT AND A LOCALIZED SEVERE WIND
   GUST RISK WILL ACCOMPANY THIS STORM.

   ..SMITH/THOMPSON.. 06/13/2014


   ATTN...WFO...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   35560457 35980495 36200454 35820404 35420416 35560457 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 13, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities