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Mesoscale Discussion 983
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0983
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1030 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NRN MO...SERN IA...W-CENTRAL IL

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 287...289...

   VALID 120330Z - 120500Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   287...289...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT REMAINS OVER VALID PORTIONS OF
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 289...AND OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH-CENTRAL
   MISSOURI.

   DISCUSSION...THE BOWING SEGMENT OVER NERN MO HAS WEAKENED SINCE
   0145Z WITH NO RECENT SVR REPORTS. ALTHOUGH CONVECTIVE INHIBITION HAS
   INCREASED NEAR AND DOWNSTREAM OF THIS LINE OF TSTMS AT LEAST SOME
   POTENTIAL FOR REINTENSIFICATION REMAINS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SRN
   PORTIONS OF WW 289 AND JUST SOUTH OF THE WATCH IN CLOSER PROXIMITY
   TO A STRENGTHENING LOW-LEVEL JET AND WHERE MUCAPE ON THE ORDER OF
   1000 J/KG EXISTS. 

   FARTHER SOUTHWEST...STRONG/OCNLY SVR TSTMS CONTINUE OVER
   LINN/LIVINGSTON/CARROLL COUNTIES IN N-CENTRAL MISSOURI ALONG OUTFLOW
   FROM EARLIER STORMS.  CINH IS WEAKER IN THIS AREA AND THE RISK FOR
   DAMAGING WINDS WILL EXIST WITH SMALL BOWING SEGMENTS FOR THE NEXT
   HOUR OR TWO.

   ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI...AT LEAST SOME RISK FOR MOSTLY SMALL
   HAIL WILL EXIST WITH TSTMS DEVELOPING NEAR THE COLD FRONT. THE
   OVERALL SVR RISK IN THIS AREA SHOULD REMAIN LOW.

   THIS ENTIRE AREA WILL REMAIN AT RISK FOR HEAVY RAINFALL...REF WPC
   MESOSCALE PRECIPITATION DISCUSSION 194.

   ..BUNTING.. 06/12/2015


   ATTN...WFO...ILX...LSX...DVN...DMX...EAX...

   LAT...LON   40149404 40839185 40819041 40459021 39879023 39709049
               39539139 39399240 39219363 39149407 39209447 39269474
               39489477 39889475 40149404 

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Page last modified: June 12, 2015
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