|
| Mesoscale Discussion 993 |
|
< Previous MD
Next MD >
|
|
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0993
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0353 PM CDT MON JUN 08 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST WI/NORTHERN IL/NORTHWEST INDIANA
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 350...
VALID 082053Z - 082200Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 350
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 350 CONTINUES UNTIL 00Z ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST WI AND NORTHERN IL.
ORGANIZING QUASI-LINEAR COMPLEX WITH AN EMBEDDED NORTH-SIDE
SUPERCELL CONTINUES TO STEADILY PROGRESS EASTWARD AT AROUND 35 KT
ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST WI AND FAR NORTHEAST IL. A DISTINCT SHORT TERM
SEVERE WIND/HAIL THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD
TOWARD THE I-94 CORRIDOR FROM MILWAUKEE SOUTHWARD TO PERHAPS
WAUKEGAN IL IN THE SHORT TERM. GIVEN THE PROXIMITY OF THE WARM FRONT
AND AMBIENT LOW LEVEL VORTICITY/AMPLE LOW LEVEL CAPE...AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MAY CONTINUE TO
OCCUR ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE EXISTING SMALL SCALE MCS INTO
NORTHERN IL. BUT OTHERWISE...THE LIKLIHOOD/EXTENT OF ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS UNCERTAIN FARTHER SOUTHWEST ACROSS NORTHERN IL. LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS TENDING TO WEAKEN WITH TIME IN THE WAKE OF MID
LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH...BUT WEAK SURFACE BASED CINH/MULTIPLE
DEEPENING BANDS OF CU SUGGEST AT LEAST ISOLATED ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL IL MAY POSE A HAIL/WIND RISK
THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.
..GUYER.. 06/08/2009
ATTN...WFO...IWX...LOT...ILX...MKX...DVN...
LAT...LON 42878876 43068698 42138660 41168667 40688749 40518967
42878876
|
|
Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
|
|