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Mesoscale Discussion 995
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0995
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0623 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN OK

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 295...

   VALID 122323Z - 130100Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 295
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS WRN
   OK. A TRANSITION TO MORE LINEAR MODE IS POSSIBLE WITH AN INCREASED
   DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS A RESULT.

   DISCUSSION...MESSY CONVECTIVE SCENARIO CONTINUES TO EVOLVE ACROSS
   WRN OK WITH NUMEROUS STORM INTERACTIONS LIMITING OVERALL STORM
   ORGANIZATION THUS FAR. GIVEN THE THERMODYNAMIC -- MLCAPE BETWEEN
   1000-1500 J PER KG -- AND KINEMATIC -- EFFECTIVE SHEAR AROUND 30 TO
   40 KT -- ENVIRONMENT DOWNSTREAM OF THE CURRENT CLUSTER...THE SEVERE
   THREAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS
   STILL POSSIBLE. THE ABSENCE OF A DISCRETE STORM MODE SHOULD KEEP THE
   TORNADO THREAT LOW. SOME UPSCALE GROWTH IS POSSIBLE WITH A
   HEIGHTENED DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS A RESULT.

   ..MOSIER.. 06/12/2015


   ATTN...WFO...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33939995 35709996 36379992 36839953 36959811 36889717
               35749727 35079745 34439779 34159802 33739873 33679946
               33939995 

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Page last modified: June 13, 2015
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