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Mesoscale Discussion 1007
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1007
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...W/CNTRL IA...NW MO...NE KS

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 298...300...

   VALID 150800Z - 150930Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   298...300...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE WIND GUSTS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
   TREE DAMAGE SHOULD BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED TO WW 300.
   DOWNSTREAM WW ISSUANCE E OF WW 298 IN IA APPEARS UNLIKELY.

   DISCUSSION...AS MENTIONED IN MCD 1006...THE BULK OF 9-KM CAPPI
   REFLECTIVITY AOA 35-DBZ HAS BECOME CONFINED TO THE SW/NE-ORIENTED
   PORTION OF THE QLCS IN S-CNTRL KS TO NW OK. FARTHER
   N...REFLECTIVITY/VELOCITY AND CG LIGHTNING TRENDS HAVE BEEN ON THE
   DOWNSWING OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS WITH THE BULK OF STRONG SURFACE
   PRESSURE RISES NOW LIMITED FROM KS SWD. AS THE FAR NRN PORTION OF
   THE LINE IN W IA PROGRESSES ACROSS THE INCREASINGLY NARROW WARM
   SECTOR CHARACTERIZED BY MIDDLE 60S SURFACE DEW POINTS...CONVECTION
   SHOULD FURTHER WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE I-35 CORRIDOR. FORWARD
   MOMENTUM OF THE LINE AIDED BY A 50-55 KT /ALBEIT WEAKENING/
   REAR-INFLOW JET SAMPLED IN OAX/TWX/ICT VWP DATA WILL STILL SUPPORT
   STRONG WIND GUSTS CAPABLE OF LOCALIZED TREE DAMAGE.

   ..GRAMS.. 06/15/2014


   ATTN...WFO...DMX...EAX...FSD...OAX...TOP...

   LAT...LON   42349580 42739525 42849418 42639367 41939334 40839325
               39699342 38139423 38109562 38249593 39029557 39839517
               41129523 42349580 

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Page last modified: June 15, 2014
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