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Mesoscale Discussion 1010
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1010
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0626 PM CDT SAT JUN 13 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...S-CNTRL LOWER MI

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 132326Z - 140030Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
   S-CNTRL LOWER MI FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.  A WATCH IS NOT CURRENTLY
   ANTICIPATED.

   DISCUSSION...A SUPERCELL HAS RECENTLY FORMED OVER BARRY AND
   KALAMAZOO COUNTIES NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF A LAKE BREEZE FRONT AND
   A QUASI-STATIONARY BOUNDARY STRETCHING SEWD INTO EXTREME NWRN OH PER
   VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA.  ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR
   ALONG THIS LATTER BOUNDARY MAY CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN THIS STORM FOR
   THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR A BRIEF TORNADO AND
   LARGE HAIL.  HOWEVER...THE STORM MOTION RELATIVE TO THE SURFACE
   BOUNDARY ORIENTATION IS EXPECTED TO TAKE IT INTO A PROGRESSIVELY
   COOLER AND MORE STABLE ENVIRONMENT.  GIVEN THE ANTICIPATED SHORT
   DURATION AND SMALL SPATIAL EXTENT OF THIS THREAT...A WATCH IS NOT
   ANTICIPATED.

   ..MEAD.. 06/13/2015


   ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...

   LAT...LON   42508562 42708555 42828534 42728495 42368446 42028459
               41878485 41858501 41908530 42098557 42508562 

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Page last modified: June 14, 2015
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