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Mesoscale Discussion 1011
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1011
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0733 AM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/NE SD

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 161233Z - 161330Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...BAND OF ELEVATED STORMS OVER CNTRL SD WILL POSE A RISK FOR
   ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AS IT TRACKS E/NE...N OF WW 301 THIS MORNING.

   DISCUSSION...ELEVATED STORMS...LIKELY ROOTED BETWEEN 700-600
   MB...PER ABR/RAP 12Z RAOBS...SHOULD PERSIST WITHIN A CORRIDOR OF
   ROBUST ISENTROPIC LIFT. ALTHOUGH THIS ACTIVITY MAY REMAIN N OF THE
   RICHER BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE EVIDENT IN 12Z LBF RAOB...700-500 MB
   LAPSE RATES AROUND 7.5 DEG C/KM AND CLOUD-BEARING SHEAR OF 25-30 KT
   WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MULTICELL TO WEAK SUPERCELL UPDRAFTS CAPABLE
   OF ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL.

   ..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 06/16/2014


   ATTN...WFO...FGF...FSD...ABR...BIS...UNR...

   LAT...LON   44400156 44770146 45420096 45959936 46039812 45929716
               45659669 45299652 44919661 44579701 44119835 43779953
               43749992 44400156 

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Page last modified: June 16, 2014
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