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Mesoscale Discussion 1017
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1017
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0311 PM CDT MON JUN 16 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN MN/NWRN IA AND VICINITY

   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 302...

   VALID 162011Z - 162215Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 302 CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...SEVERE/ISOLATED TORNADO RISK CONTINUES ACROSS PARTS OF WW
   302.

   DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS STRONG/SEVERE STORMS MOVING
   ACROSS SERN SD AND ADJACENT NWRN IA AND SWRN MN...WITH STRONGEST
   CELLS ONGOING ATTM FROM THE FSD VICINITY EWD ALONG THE SWRN MN/NWRN
   IA BORDER.  THIS AREA REMAINS TO THE COOL SIDE OF AN
   OUTFLOW-REINFORCED SURFACE BOUNDARY...ALONG A MIXED-LAYER CAPE
   GRADIENT PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES.  

   WITH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR ACROSS THE AREA SUPPORTIVE OF
   SUPERCELLS...STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL --
   ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO
   OR TWO.  IN ADDITION...STORMS ARE INCREASING ACROSS PARTS OF ERN NEB
   ATTM...AND MAY SPREAD EWD INTO PARTS OF WW 302 LATER THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING YIELDING ADDITIONAL SEVERE/TORNADO RISK ACROSS
   THIS AREA.

   ..GOSS.. 06/16/2014


   ATTN...WFO...MPX...DMX...FSD...OAX...

   LAT...LON   45209445 45149399 41889329 41739578 43509609 44169591
               44719486 45209445 

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Page last modified: June 16, 2014
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