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Mesoscale Discussion 1019
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1019
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0314 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

   AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NRN PORTIONS OF INDIANA AND OH...SERN LOWER
   MI...NWRN PA

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 299...

   VALID 142014Z - 142215Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 299
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...THE RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES WITH THE STRONGEST
   STORMS WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

   DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE IN PROGRESS AT 2010Z
   ACROSS WW 299...WITH THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OVER
   WEST-CENTRAL/NORTHERN INDIANA AND SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN/NORTHERN
   OHIO WHERE LOW-LEVEL CONFLUENCE WAS MAXIMIZED.  THE OVERALL
   ENVIRONMENT REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
   DAMAGING DOWNBURST WINDS WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS GIVEN THE VERY
   MOIST ENVIRONMENT /PW VALUES APPROACHING 2 INCHES/...MLCAPE OF 1000
   TO 1500 J/KG...AND 30-40 KT MID-LEVEL FLOW.  IN THE ABSENCE OF
   LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER THE WATCH AREA...ONLY A MODEST
   INCREASE IN THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE IS ANTICIPATED. WHERE STORMS
   CONGEAL INTO CLUSTERS OR SHORT LINES...THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
   MAY BE LOCALLY GREATER.

   ..BUNTING.. 06/14/2015


   ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

   LAT...LON   39908750 40408746 40598684 41378643 42008448 42348316
               41938315 41688283 41648239 41878189 42188127 42327989
               41747971 41548005 41008072 40458211 39958384 39558552
               39378668 39308740 39908750 

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Page last modified: June 14, 2015
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