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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1034
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0800 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S-CNTRL KS...FAR NWRN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 110100Z - 110200Z
AN ISOLATED/SHORT-TERM HAIL AND BRIEF TORNADIC THREAT COULD EVOLVE
ACROSS SWRN KS AND PERHAPS INTO FAR NWRN OK INVOF SHORT WAVE TROUGH
AND ATTENDANT CYCLONE EXPECTED TO TRACK EWD INTO S-CNTRL KS.
RELATIVELY LIMITED TEMPORAL/AREAL EXTENT SHOULD MITIGATE THE NEED
FOR A WW...BUT TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED.
RECENT OBSERVATIONAL AND ANALYSIS IMAGERY PLACED A VORTICITY MAXIMUM
WITH AN ATTENDANT SURFACE CYCLONE JUST INTO SWRN KS AROUND 45 W GCK
AS OF 0045Z. SUBSTANTIAL VEERING OF THE LOW/MID-LEVEL WIND PROFILE
IS NOTED DOWNSTREAM OF THIS CIRCULATION IN 00Z DDC RAOB. IN THE WAKE
OF AN MCS EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON...AN AREA OF MORE ROBUST INSOLATION
RESULTED IN SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE MIDDLE 70S WITH DEW
POINTS IN THE MIDDLE 50S TO LOWER 60S. MODIFIED DDC RAOB SUGGEST
MLCAPE SHOULD BE NEAR 1000 J/KG WITHIN THIS ZONE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SWRN KS INTO ERN OK PANHANDLE/FAR NWRN OK. THIS COULD LEAD TO A
SHORT-TERM INCREASE IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF
NOCTURNAL COOLING.
..GRAMS.. 06/11/2009
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...AMA...
LAT...LON 38199892 37629852 36839842 36339893 36209969 36410050
36730112 37220132 37900095 38210041 38199892
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