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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1036
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0858 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL AND SRN PORTIONS OF MO/IL/IND
CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 367...369...
VALID 110158Z - 110300Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 367...369...CONTINUES.
PRIMARY SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD EVOLVE FROM CNTRL/E-CNTRL MO WITHIN
WW 367 INTO WW 369 BY 04Z. A MORE ISOLATED THREAT IS EXPECTED ALONG
W/E-ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY INTO CNTRL/SRN IND...WITH
OBSERVATIONAL TRENDS BEING MONITORED FOR A DOWNSTREAM WW.
RADAR IMAGERY DEPICTS AN MCS CENTERED OVER CNTRL MO TOWARDS THE SRN
STL METRO AREA. MORE DISCRETE CELLS HAVE RECENTLY DEVELOPED ALONG A
REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT STRETCHED TO NEAR BMG AS OF 01Z.
MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY REMAINS S OF THIS BOUNDARY WITH
MLCAPES OF 2000 TO 4000 J/KG...PER OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND MODIFIED
00Z SGF/BNA RAOBS...JUXTAPOSED WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 30-35 KT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED LINEAR/BOWING SEGMENTS AND
SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. THE EXTENT OF CONVECTIVE COVERAGE E OF WW 369
MAY BE MITIGATED IN THE NEAR-TERM BY PRESENCE OF SHORT WAVE RIDGING.
NEVERTHELESS...INCREASING LARGE-SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE MO
MCS AND DEVELOPING MCV SHOULD AID IN ENHANCING TSTM COVERAGE INTO
CNTRL/SRN IND LATER THIS EVENING WITH ATTENDANT THREATS FOR SEVERE
HAIL/WIND.
..GRAMS.. 06/11/2009
ATTN...WFO...LMK...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...
LAT...LON 37309058 37039161 37929209 38619203 39359110 39868970
40078824 40018682 39678627 39318605 38628589 38138628
37888793 37458975 37309058
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