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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1037
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1107 PM CDT WED JUN 10 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...ARKLATEX VICINITY TO WESTERN/NORTHERN MS
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 368...
VALID 110407Z - 110530Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 368
CONTINUES.
SEVERE TSTM WATCH 368 CONTINUES UNTIL 07Z. AN ADDITIONAL AND/OR
REPLACEMENT WATCH MAY BE ISSUED BY 0430-05Z TO INCORPORATE
ADDITIONAL PORTIONS OF NORTHERN LA/AR INTO WESTERN MS.
LONG LIVED/150 MILE NORTH-SOUTH EXTENSIVE SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO
MAINTAIN WELL-ORGANIZED CHARACTERISTICS AS IT CROSSES THE ARKLATEX
VICINITY LATE THIS EVENING...WITH A NORTHERN PERIPHERY ROTATING
COMMA HEAD ACROSS MCCURTAIN COUNTY OK...AND THE REMAINDER OF THE
LINE BOWING EASTWARD TOWARD THE TEXARKANA/LONGVIEW AREAS AS OF
0345Z. WITH A MID LEVEL SPEED MAXIMA CROSSING THE REGION...REGIONAL
WIND PROFILERS/WSR-88D DERIVED WINDS IN THE WAKE OF THIS SQUALL LINE
IMPLY SOME ADDITIONAL ENHANCEMENT TO THE LOW TO MID TROPOSPHERIC
FLOW WITH POTENTIAL ONGOING DEVELOPMENT OF AN MCV. EVEN WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN NEAR SURFACE CINH AHEAD OF THE SQUALL LINE...THE
ORGANIZED NATURE OF THE MCS/EXISTING SURFACE COLD POOL AND
AFOREMENTIONED MCV DEVELOPMENT...ALONG WITH STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES/DRY AIR ALOFT SAMPLED BY THE 00Z SHREVEPORT OBSERVED
RAOB...ARE ALL SUGGESTIVE OF SEVERE MCS MAINTENENCE INTO THE
OVERNIGHT. WITH EXPECTATIONS FOR A MAINLY DAMAGING WIND THREAT TO
CONTINUE...AN ADDITIONAL OR REPLACEMENT WATCH MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN
THE HOUR.
..GUYER.. 06/11/2009
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...
LAT...LON 34129497 35129368 35368978 32449119 31569468 34129497
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