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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1038
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SERN AR
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 368...
VALID 110640Z - 110715Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 368
CONTINUES.
WW 368 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 07Z...BUT RECENT RADAR TRENDS
SUGGEST THE ERN MOST TIER OF AR COUNTIES IN THIS WATCH /PRAIRIE TO
DESHA/ WILL CONTINUE TO BE AFFECTED BY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS FROM
07-08Z. THEREFORE...LOCAL WFO EXTENSION IS POSSIBLE FOR WW 368.
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED AN MCV ATTENDANT TO THE WELL ORGANIZED
FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS /WITH A WELL DEFINED COLD POOL/ MOVING
ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. STRONGEST FORCING FOR ASCENT WITH THIS
MCS IS SPREADING ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL AR WHERE LIGHTNING DATA SHOWS
THE MORE ACTIVE STORMS...THAN FARTHER S INTO NRN LA WHERE LIGHTNING
HAS DIMINISHED. DOWNSTREAM AIR MASS ACROSS SERN AR/WRN MS REMAINS
MODERATELY UNSTABLE SUGGESTING THIS BOW WILL PROGRESS ENEWD WITH A
CONTINUED THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
..PETERS.. 06/11/2009
ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...
LAT...LON 33189214 33419263 34289272 34909260 35039130 34699108
33979101 33549122 33189214
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