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Mesoscale Discussion 1054
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1054
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1151 PM CDT TUE JUN 17 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NY...EXTREME SRN VT AND WRN MA AND NWRN CT

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 316...

   VALID 180451Z - 180515Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 316
   CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...STORMS MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING
   WIND NEXT HOUR OR TWO ACROSS SERN NY INTO WRN MA. HOWEVER...OVERALL
   TREND SHOULD BE FOR STORMS TO BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND AFTER 0530Z.

   DISCUSSION...LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES MOVING THROUGH ERN NY AND
   APPROACHING SRN NEW ENGLAND. STORMS REMAIN EMBEDDED WITHIN BELT OF
   STRONG WLY DEEP LAYER WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A PROGRESSIVE SHORTWAVE
   TROUGH. HOWEVER...THE BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO STABILIZE
   RESULTING IN AN INCREASINGLY MARGINAL THERMODYNAMIC
   ENVIRONMENT...ESPECIALLY WITH EWD EXTENT INTO SRN NEW ENGLAND.
   THEREFORE...STORMS SHOULD BEGIN AN OVERALL WEAKENING TREND WITHIN
   THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

   ..DIAL.. 06/18/2014


   ATTN...WFO...BOX...OKX...ALY...BGM...

   LAT...LON   41857453 42457336 43037267 42537247 41587328 41857453 

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Page last modified: June 18, 2014
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