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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1057
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0343 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...TX PNHDL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 112043Z - 112215Z
TSTMS CAPABLE OF ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THIS
EVENING. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
TSTMS ARE ATTEMPTING TO BECOME SUSTAINED NEAR AMA ALONG OR JUST IN
THE WAKE OF A WEAK BOUNDARY SHIFTING NWWD THROUGH CARSON...ARMSTRONG
AND RANDALL COUNTIES PER HIGH-RESOLUTION RADAR DATA. THIS BOUNDARY
IS LOCATED TO THE N OF SYNOPTIC FRONT WHICH ALSO APPEARS TO BE
LIFTING NWD THROUGH THE SWRN PNHDL.
LOW-LEVEL ENELY TRAJECTORIES EMANATING FROM SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
CNTRL HIGH PLAINS IN CONJUNCTION WITH INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS HAVE
HELD TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. AS A RESULT...AIR MASS
IS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE BELOW 1000 J/KG. DESPITE
THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY...SOME THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER
WILL EXIST WITH ANY STORMS THAT BECOME SUSTAINED GIVEN 40-50 KT OF
DEEP-LAYER SHEAR AND INCREASED FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING
SHORT WAVE TROUGH.
..MEAD.. 06/11/2009
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
LAT...LON 34720182 35230199 35810192 36190163 36320094 35830022
35060040 34580111 34720182
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