Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1060
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1060 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1060
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0544 PM CDT Fri Jun 16 2017

   Areas affected...Portions of west Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 162244Z - 162345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...Isolated storms may be capable of severe hail and
   strong/gusty winds this evening. However, they should remain limited
   in both space and time, precluding watch issuance.

   DISCUSSION...Isolated convection has developed across far west Texas
   late this afternoon. Large-scale forcing for ascent is weak, and
   mid-level temperatures are quite warm; however, orographic and
   dryline circulations have primed the environment sufficiently for
   isolated vigorous updrafts. Moist southeasterly boundary-layer flow
   veers to west/northwest mid/upper flow, promoting effective shear
   around 40-50 kt -- favorable for mid-level rotation. As such, any
   sustained/deep convection will be capable of severe hail and
   strong/gusty winds. However, due to the large-scale environment
   being unfavorable for more widespread coverage, watch issuance is
   not anticipated.

   ..Picca/Guyer.. 06/16/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   29220380 30580306 31890164 31470103 31030105 30080163
               29810171 29750241 29480274 29090297 28970326 29220380 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 16, 2017
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities