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Mesoscale Discussion 1065
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1065
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0900 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHEAST CO/SOUTHWEST KS
   
   CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 380...
   
   VALID 120200Z - 120300Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 380 CONTINUES.
   
   CURRENT THINKING IS THAT TORNADO WATCH 380 WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO
   EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 03Z...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT CONTINUING
   ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST CO NEAR THE LAMAR AREA IN THE SHORT TERM.
   MONITORING FOR A POSSIBLE ADDITIONAL WATCH ISSUANCE ACROSS SOUTHWEST
   KS.
   
   LONG LIVED QUASI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS NEAR/NORTH OF THE LAMAR AREA
   SHOULD CONTINUE TO CONGEAL INTO A SMALL MCS AND PROGRESS EASTWARD AT
   AROUND 20-25 KT INTO SOUTHWEST KS. WITH A NOCTURNALLY COOLING
   BOUNDARY LAYER...NEAR SURFACE CINH DOES INCREASE INTO SOUTHWEST
   KS...ALTHOUGH ORGANIZED NATURE OF THESE ONGOING STORMS AND A
   STRONGLY SHEARED/STEEP LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT PER 00Z DODGE CITY
   RAOB MAY SUPPORT A CONTINUED WIND/HAIL THREAT INTO SOUTHWEST KS.
   WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR DEVELOPMENT TRENDS FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF
   AN ADDITIONAL/REPLACEMENT SEVERE TSTM WATCH.
   OTHERWISE...SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO WANE ACROSS THE
   REMAINDER OF EASTERN CO WITHIN TORNADO WATCH 380...SUCH THAT THE
   WATCH WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT/BY 03Z.
   
   ..GUYER.. 06/12/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...
   
   LAT...LON   38590346 38740182 38230051 37340121 37540335 38590346 
   
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Page last modified: June 12, 2009
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