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Mesoscale Discussion 1076
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1076
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0934 PM CDT Sat Jun 17 2017

   Areas affected...Southeast Kansas...southwest Missouri...northeast
   Oklahoma

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 346...

   Valid 180234Z - 180430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 346
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A threat of severe wind and hail persists across WW 346,
   and may extend a bit farther southeast into northeastern Oklahoma
   into southwestern Missouri this evening. A new/small watch may be
   needed.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered severe storms, with a mixture of cells and
   lines, persist from southern KS into northern MO. Cells over
   southwestern KS have shown very large hail cores at times, as well
   as strong winds, and remain relatively discrete. However, a merging
   could occur as the cold front continues to undercut. Over eastern
   Kansas, cells have merged with a cluster of severe storms just
   northeast of Wichita propagating rapidly southward. Damaging winds
   and hail are likely with this activity, which will approach the
   KS/OK state line by around 0430Z. Farther east, storms continue just
   east of the Kansas city area, with indications of damaging winds.

   Storms will continue to shift southeastward this evening, and the
   air mass remains unstable. However, capping will become a concern,
   with 00Z SGF and OUN soundings showing substantial CIN. The greatest
   threat of severe wind and hail will be immediately south of WW 346,
   but it is unclear how far south these storms will remain
   strong/severe.

   ..Jewell/Guyer.. 06/18/2017

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   38189675 38659561 38999506 39449467 39669371 39519277
               39389250 38689203 38169221 37509262 37029330 36289505
               36049557 36029616 36119670 36459708 36979739 37629732
               37889736 38189675 

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Page last modified: June 18, 2017
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