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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1078
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0238 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CNTRL AND NRN AL
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 121938Z - 122045Z
SEVERE POTENTIAL IS INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL
AND NRN AL. A WW IS LIKELY IN THE NEAR TERM THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE A
RENEWED SEVERE THREAT OCCURS WITH APPROACHING DERECHO TOWARDS EARLY
EVENING.
RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS STRONG/SEVERE TSTMS DEVELOPING OVER PARTS OF NRN
MS. THESE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG RESIDUAL BAROCLINIC ZONE
EXTENDING FROM THE SRN APPALACHIANS AND DRAPING WWD INTO CNTRL AR.
INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH APPROACHING SHORTWAVE
TROUGH --LIKELY AIDED BY PRONOUNCED MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION SPAWNED BY
ONGOING DERECHO-- WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING AND FAVOR CONTINUED TSTM DEVELOPMENT ON
PERIPHERY OF EML PLUME ORIGINATING FROM AREAS W.
DESPITE WEAK TO MARGINAL SHEAR OVER THE AREA
MID-AFTERNOON...STRONGER MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER NERN MS /PER RECENT
KGWX VWP 35-40 KTS AT 6 KM/ WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD WRN PORTIONS OF
THE HIGHLIGHTED AREA. A POTENTIALLY STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL
LIKELY BE REALIZED AS STORMS /INCLUDING SUPERCELLS/ MOVE EWD INTO
AREA AHEAD OF FORWARD PROPAGATING DERECHO. THESE SEMI-DISCRETE
STORMS MAY MERGE INTO A SMALL CLUSTER WITH TIME...POSING BOTH A
LARGE HAIL AND DMGG WIND THREAT.
..SMITH.. 06/12/2009
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...
LAT...LON 33108631 32998673 33118770 33288819 34868799 34938770
34778707 34638650 34308604 33988591 33508604 33108631
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