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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1079
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0244 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2009
AREAS AFFECTED...CO FRONT RANGE
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY
VALID 121944Z - 122045Z
THE THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF MAINLY HAIL WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A WW IS NOT CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES GROWING CUMULUS CONVECTION ALONG
THE FRONT RANGE...PARTICULARLY THE PALMER DIVIDE. ADDITIONAL...
SHALLOWER CUMULUS ARE OBSERVED ALONG A SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING
FROM THE PALMER DIVIDE ESEWD THROUGH LINCOLN AND CHEYENNE COUNTIES.
CURRENT THINKING IS THAT THE GREATEST CONCENTRATION OF STORMS WILL
BE FROM THE PALMER DIVIDE EWD ALONG AFOREMENTIONED BOUNDARY WITH
MORE ISOLATED STORM DEVELOPMENT SWD ALONG THE FRONT RANGE.
WHILE BOUNDARY LAYER IS NOT PARTICULARLY MOIST...THE PRESENCE OF
STEEP LOW TO MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE OF
500-1000 J/KG. WHEN COUPLED WITH 30-35 KT MIDLEVEL WLY
WINDS...ENVIRONMENT IS SUPPORTIVE OF A FEW ORGANIZED/ROTATING STORMS
CAPABLE OF SEVERE HAIL AND PERHAPS A BRIEF TORNADO.
..MEAD.. 06/12/2009
ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...
LAT...LON 37470464 38230487 38990517 39350505 39430440 39110321
38750254 37730260 37170280 37060393 37470464
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