MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1086
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0756 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2009
   
   AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...W-CNTRL KS
   
   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 392...
   
   VALID 130056Z - 130200Z
   
   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 392
   CONTINUES.
   
   AN ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL/WIND THREAT CONTINUES PRIMARILY OVER E-CNTRL
   CO ALONG A COMPOSITE OUTFLOW/CONFLUENCE AXIS. THIS THREAT SHOULD
   EXTEND BRIEFLY INTO W-CNTRL KS...BUT OVERALL POTENTIAL MAY NOT
   WARRANT THE NEED FOR AN ADDITIONAL WW.
   
   RECENT RADAR/VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICT A SERIES OF DISCRETE
   CONVECTIVE CELLS GRADUALLY PROPAGATING EWD FROM EL PASO TO CHEYENNE
   COUNTIES IN CO...ALONG AND JUST N OF A COMPOSITE
   OUTFLOW/LONGER-LIVED CONFLUENCE AXIS. THE LEAD CELL HAS EXHIBITED
   MORE INTENSE SUPERCELLULAR CHARACTERISTICS AND BASED ON CURRENT
   TRACK SHOULD REACH THE CO/KS BORDER BETWEEN 02-03Z. OVERALL SEVERE
   THREAT E OF WW 392 SHOULD BE RATHER SHORT-LIVED WITH THE ONSET OF
   NOCTURNAL COOLING AND PRESENCE OF MODEST HIGH-LEVEL LAPSE RATES /AS
   SAMPLED BY 00Z DDC RAOB/. WITH SYNOPTIC-SCALE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING
   FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE EVENING AS WEST COAST TROUGH
   DEEPENS...DECREASING COVERAGE AND WEAKENING TENDENCY OF CONVECTION
   IS EXPECTED AFTER SUNSET.
   
   ..GRAMS.. 06/13/2009
   
   
   ATTN...WFO...LBF...DDC...GLD...PUB...BOU...ABQ...
   
   LAT...LON   36980514 37320503 37820436 37820507 38400495 39080502
               39130531 40020500 40960495 40990200 37000202 36980514