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Mesoscale Discussion 1088
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1088
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1108 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/NRN NEW ENGLAND

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 291608Z - 291715Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...CONVECTION WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AND
   INTENSITY OVER INTO THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS.  SMALL HAIL OR GUSTY
   WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST CONVECTION.

   DISCUSSION...DIFFLUENT HIGH-LEVEL FLOW EXTENDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
   AHEAD OF MIGRATORY SHORT-WAVE TROUGH.  EXTENSIVE CLOUDS WITH SCT
   PRECIPITATION ARE HOLDING ACROSS DOWNEAST MAINE INTO SERN CANADA
   WITH STRONGEST BOUNDARY-LAYER HEATING EXPECTED TO FOCUS FROM THE
   HUDSON VALLEY REGION OF NY...NEWD INTO EXTREME WRN MAINE.  THIS
   CORRIDOR OF HEATING WILL BE THE PRIMARY ZONE WHERE CONVECTION COULD
   ATTAIN ROBUST INTENSITY.  WHILE DEEP-LAYER SHEAR IS SUPPORTIVE OF
   ORGANIZED UPDRAFTS...INSTABILITY SHOULD REMAIN WEAK ACROSS THIS
   REGION AND SMALL HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

   ..DARROW/HART.. 06/29/2016


   ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...ALY...

   LAT...LON   47386794 44147038 42717215 43217362 45117331 47386794 

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Page last modified: June 29, 2016
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