MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1101
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0816 PM CDT SUN JUN 16 2013

   AREAS AFFECTED...KS...NWRN OK

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

   VALID 170116Z - 170215Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF KS INTO NWRN OK.

   DISCUSSION...AN UPWARD EVOLVING CORRIDOR OF THUNDERSTORMS IS
   CURRENTLY LOCATED FROM SWRN KS INTO SCNTRL NEB.  THIS ACTIVITY IS
   PROPAGATING SEWD INTO AN AIRMASS THAT REMAINS CONDUCIVE FOR
   MAINTENANCE OF ORGANIZED SEVERE.  00Z SOUNDING FROM DDC EXHIBITS
   STEEP LAPSE RATES WITH MODEST INSTABILITY AND SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF
   ORGANIZED MULTI-CELL UPDRAFTS.  LATEST RADAR DATA SUGGESTS SEVERAL
   MCV/S ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE BAND OF CONVECTION...THE STRONGEST OF
   WHICH IS LOCATED NW OF GCK.  WITH TIME A LARGER COMPLEX OF STORMS
   MAY EMERGE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE WHICH SHOULD PROPAGATE
   EAST OF THE CURRENT SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WITHIN THE NEXT 1-2
   HOURS.  LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
   ACTIVITY.

   ..DARROW/HART.. 06/17/2013


   ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36700051 39649977 39479757 36349801 36700051