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Mesoscale Discussion 1103
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1103
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1233 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF NC AND SC

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 211733Z - 211930Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...40 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...NUMEROUS STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT
   COUPLE OF HOURS ACROSS THE REGION.  CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE
   TO BE MONITORED FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF A WATCH.

   DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE FOCI FOR CONVECTIVE INITIATION WILL RESULT IN
   NUMEROUS STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.  EVEN THOUGH MODERATE INSTABILITY
   /MLCAPE OVER 2000 J/KG/ IS DEVELOPING AS TEMPERATURES
   WARM...DEEP-LAYER FLOW/SHEAR IS RATHER WEAK.  NEVERTHELESS...PW
   VALUES AT OR NEAR 2 INCHES IN THE PRESENCE OF STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
   RATES MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED WET MICROBURSTS.  IN ADDITION...0-3 KM
   SHEAR AROUND 20 KTS /PER LOCAL VWP DATA/ COULD SUPPORT A COUPLE OF
   ORGANIZED CLUSTERS WITH A DAMAGING WIND THREAT.

   ..JIRAK/HART.. 06/21/2014


   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

   LAT...LON   33037955 32967999 33168058 33408086 33718084 33998075
               34318041 34518017 34777991 35037966 35517930 35747907
               35997874 36137844 36267814 36327769 36307747 36217704
               36017649 35787628 35637631 35347649 35057676 34827698
               34527740 34317771 34047804 33937834 33827871 33667897
               33037955 

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Page last modified: June 21, 2014
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