Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1115
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1115 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1115
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0119 PM CDT SAT JUL 02 2016

   AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHWEST MO...NORTHWEST AR

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 021819Z - 022015Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS MAY
   DEVELOP WITH INCREASING CONVECTION NEAR THE REMNANT CONVECTIVE
   OUTFLOW/EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT.

   DISCUSSION...ISOLATED STORMS HAVE COMMENCED ALONG A REMNANT
   CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW/EFFECTIVE WARM FRONT IN SOUTHWEST MO WITH
   ADDITIONAL AGITATED CU WITHIN A WEAKLY CONFLUENT REGIME TO THE
   SOUTHWEST IN FAR EASTERN OK. SPRINGFIELD VWP DATA SAMPLED MODERATE
   SPEED SHEAR AMID PREDOMINANT DEEP-LAYER WESTERLIES. THIS TYPE OF
   PROFILE SHOULD RESULT IN STORMS PROGRESSING INTO THE COOLER AIR MASS
   IN SOUTHERN MO NORTH OF THE EFFECTIVE FRONT. WITH A NORTH/SOUTH
   GRADIENT TO DEEP-LAYER FLOW...SHOULD STORMS FORM FARTHER
   SOUTHWEST...ACTIVITY WILL PROBABLY REMAIN WEAKLY ORGANIZED. PRIMARY
   HAZARDS IN THIS SCENARIO SHOULD BE ISOLATED SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY
   DAMAGING WINDS.

   ..GRAMS/CORFIDI.. 07/02/2016


   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...TSA...

   LAT...LON   37069325 37249277 37289237 37249175 37059153 36709152
               36299195 36199285 35909361 35469427 35479474 35949456
               36839387 37069325 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: July 02, 2016
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities