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MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1116
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1007 PM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
AREAS AFFECTED...NRN CONCHO VALLEY OF W-CNTRL TX
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323...
VALID 180307Z - 180400Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 323
CONTINUES.
SUMMARY...DMGG WIND THREAT APPEARS TO BE GREATEST WITHIN A NARROW
CORRIDOR AHEAD OF A SMALL BOWING SEGMENT APPROACHING W-CNTRL TX.
SHOULD CONVECTIVE TRENDS PERSIST...WW 323 MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED
SLIGHTLY SWD AND EXTENDED IN TIME.
DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR TRENDS SHOW SMALL BOWING SEGMENT EVOLVING
OUT OF CONVECTION ACROSS BIG SPRING...WITH SEVERAL SVR WIND GUSTS
REPORTED. ADDITIONAL CLUSTERS OF TSTMS HAVE BEEN ONGOING AHEAD OF
THIS FEATURE...WITH AN ATTENDANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARY SLOWLY PUSHING
SWD. IT IS UNCLEAR IF THIS CONVECTION DEVELOPING AHEAD OF THE BOWING
SEGMENT WILL ADVERSELY AFFECT DMGG WIND POTENTIAL WITH THE AIR MASS
BECOMING WORKED OVER. HOWEVER...IF CONVECTIVE TRENDS PERSIST...THEN
PORTIONS OF WW 323 MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED SLIGHTLY SWD...AND
EXTENDED IN TIME THROUGH 05-06Z.
..ROGERS/DARROW.. 06/18/2013
ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...
LAT...LON 31069929 31010006 31240094 31730157 32210173 32560173
32760158 32840115 32199978 31939942 31419900 31069929
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