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Mesoscale Discussion 1120
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1120
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0347 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL WY

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

   VALID 222047Z - 222315Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN OF WRN WY.
   GIVEN THE MARGINAL NATURE OF INSTABILITY...A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
   ATTM.

   DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN WRN WY AHEAD OF A
   DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS ERN ID /PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY/. 
   ALTHOUGH THE DEEP-LAYER FLOW/SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE MAY
   BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT ORGANIZED CONVECTION...INSTABILITY IS WEAK
   /MLCAPE VALUES ONLY AROUND 500 J/KG PER RECENT MESOANALYSIS/. 
   NONETHELESS...ANY ISOLATED LONG-LIVED/ORGANIZED STORMS MAY POSE A
   THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.

   ..JIRAK/WEISS.. 06/22/2014


   ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...RIW...

   LAT...LON   42410758 42570786 42950800 43610848 43970849 44220810
               44290776 44310712 44250656 44190622 44010581 43800553
               43430530 43090529 42850533 42680550 42550586 42410758 

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Page last modified: June 22, 2014
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