Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Mesoscale Discussion 1124
< Previous MD         Next MD >
MD 1124 graphic

   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1124
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0819 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN/S CNTRL KANSAS...NWRN OK...THE TEXAS
   PANHANDLE...NERN NEW MEXICO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 346...347...

   VALID 230119Z - 230245Z

   THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
   346...347...CONTINUES.

   SUMMARY...POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR THE CONTINUED EVOLUTION OF AN
   INCREASINGLY ORGANIZED MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM ACCOMPANIED BY
   THE RISK FOR STRONG/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL
   HIGH PLAINS THROUGH 03-06Z.  A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED BY THE
   CURRENTLY SCHEDULED 03Z EXPIRATION OF WWS 346 AND 347.

   DISCUSSION...MERGING CONVECTIVE OUTFLOWS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO NEW
   INTENSE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NEAR GARDEN CITY...SOUTHWARD TOWARD
   THE ELKHART AREA.  STRONGEST ACTIVITY IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY
   FOCUSED ALONG THE GUST FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE MORE PROMINENT COLD
   POOL SURGING OUT OF THE COLORADO HIGH PLAINS.  ADDITIONAL STRONG TO
   SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED INTO THE 03-06Z TIME FRAME...AS
   IT CONTINUES SOUTHEASTWARD/SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE PANHANDLE REGION AND
   NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

   OTHERWISE...CONTINUED UPSCALE CONVECTIVE GROWTH APPEARS LIKELY
   DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AS THE PRE-CONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT
   REMAINS MODERATELY UNSTABLE IN THE PRESENCE OF SUFFICIENT VERTICAL
   SHEAR.  THIS PROCESS MAY BE AIDED BY SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
   INTENSIFICATION ABOVE THE DECOUPLING BOUNDARY LAYER...WHICH MAY
   FOCUS THE MOST VIGOROUS CONVECTION AND HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR
   STRONG...POTENTIALLY DAMAGING...WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE EASTERN TEXAS
   PANHANDLE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA.

   ..KERR.. 06/23/2014


   ATTN...WFO...ICT...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   36060368 36340251 36870157 37380063 37900012 38159973
               37909782 37129730 34959862 34389989 34210113 34730353
               36060368 

Top/All Mesoscale Discussions/Forecast Products/Home
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: June 23, 2014
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities