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Mesoscale Discussion 1130
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   MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1130
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0239 PM CDT MON JUN 23 2014

   AREAS AFFECTED...SERN WY...ERN CO

   CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE 

   VALID 231939Z - 232145Z

   PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT

   SUMMARY...SCATTERED STRONG STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE NEXT
   FEW HOURS WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL AND WIND POSSIBLE INTO THE
   EVENING.

   DISCUSSION...DAYTIME HEATING AS WELL AS RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES
   ALOFT ARE COMBINING TO SLOWLY REMOVE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ACROSS
   THE REGION. HIGH-BASED CONVECTION WAS ALREADY EVIDENT OVER THE
   MOUNTAINS...BUT SHOULD MOVE INTO THE PLAINS LATER THIS AFTERNOON. 

   MODEST WLY MID TO UPPER LEVEL FLOW AND WEAK SURFACE UPSLOPE WINDS
   ARE HELPING TO CREATE HODOGRAPHS SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
   STORMS...MOSTLY IN THE FORM OF SEWD PROPAGATING CELLS OR CLUSTERS
   DEPENDING ON MAGNITUDE OF OUTFLOW PRODUCTION. 

   DURING THE EVENING...INDICATIONS ARE THAT INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE
   FURTHER AS LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BACKS NWWD. THIS MAY GIVE ANY ONGOING
   STORMS A BOOST WITH A CONTINUED WIND AND HAIL THREAT AS FAR E AS WRN
   KS.

   ..JEWELL/CARBIN.. 06/23/2014


   ATTN...WFO...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...

   LAT...LON   37070348 37270457 38190498 39620532 41040576 41600535
               41800456 41430331 40570271 39320219 38370212 37800210
               37280230 37070348 

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Page last modified: June 23, 2014
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